Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Park View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000401 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 3,227 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 4.7/10 for census tract 51660000401 reflects conditions in Park View in Harrisonburg, Virginia. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $928 a month against an average household income of $48,636 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$48,636
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4725, -78.8695 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park View scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$928 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Park View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park View
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harrisonburg City County average of 5.0 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000401?
Census tract 51660000401 in the Park View neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51660000401?
Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000401?
16.4% of residents in tract 51660000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,227.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 82th, minority 37th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51660000401 considered part of Park View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000401 fall within Park View (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51660000401 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51660000401 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000401 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Skyline Area
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51660000203
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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