Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Park View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000401 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 3,227 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51660000401 covers part of the Park View area of Harrisonburg, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,227 residents. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share62.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$48,636
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4725, -78.8695 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park View scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$928 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Park View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Park View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park View
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
At $928 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Harrisonburg commands. Cost burden runs 36% here against 40.7% across Harrisonburg City.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Harrisonburg City average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $48,636. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000401?
Census tract 51660000401 in the Park View neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51660000401?
Median gross rent is $928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000401?
16.4% of residents in tract 51660000401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,227.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 82th, minority 37th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51660000401 considered part of Park View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000401 fall within Park View (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51660000401 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51660000401 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000401 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Skyline Area
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51660000203
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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