Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Park View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000402 ·
Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 5,966 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51660000402 is a census tract in the Park View area of Harrisonburg, VA. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 29% here against 40.7% across Harrisonburg City.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 39%Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,516
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$57,618
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Park View
Very High
Within parent city
50th percentile
#6 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg
Moderate
Within county
50th percentile
#6 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg city
Moderate
Within state
63th percentile
#800 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4607, -78.8743 · click any tract to drill in
Why Park View scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$948 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Park View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
16.3%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.3%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
11.3%Transit barriers
16.6%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Park View
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. At $948 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Harrisonburg commands.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Harrisonburg City average of 4.2 closely.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $57,618. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000402?
Census tract 51660000402 in the Park View neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51660000402?
Median gross rent is $948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000402?
20.4% of residents in tract 51660000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,966.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 51660000402 considered part of Park View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000402 fall within Park View (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51660000402 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51660000402 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000402 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.