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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Park View Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg

Tract 51660000402 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 5,966 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Park View area of Harrisonburg is where census tract 51660000402 sits, home to 5,966 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #63,683 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $948 a month against an average household income of $57,618 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 39% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,516
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$57,618

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Park View
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg city
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#181 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region

Centroid at 38.4607, -78.8743 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park View scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$948 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5

How Park View compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park View risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 000402Harrisonburg: 4.34.3Harrisonburgparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park View

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harrisonburg City County average of 5.0 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51660000402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000402?

Census tract 51660000402 in the Park View neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51660000402?

Median gross rent is $948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000402?

20.4% of residents in tract 51660000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,966.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 83th, minority 61th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 51660000402 considered part of Park View?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000402 fall within Park View (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51660000402 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51660000402 compare to Harrisonburg overall?

Tract 51660000402 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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