Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Beacon Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000201 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 6,521 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51680000201 sits in the Beacon Hill area of Lynchburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,521 residents. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 43.8% across Lynchburg City.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,395
Renter share23.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$100,321
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.4282, -79.2296 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beacon Hill scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$900 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Beacon Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 177Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2013)
- 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beacon Hill
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
Average gross rent is $900, 16% below the Lynchburg average. Housing insecurity runs 5.6% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 177 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 9.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lynchburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680000201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000201?
Census tract 51680000201 in the Beacon Hill neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680000201?
Median gross rent is $900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000201?
5.1% of residents in tract 51680000201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,521.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 20th, minority 27th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51680000201 considered part of Beacon Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000201 fall within Beacon Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 177 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680000201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.55% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51680000201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51680000201 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680000201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51680000201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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