Westend Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 263 evictions over 4 years of observation.

At $941 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Lynchburg commands. Filings peaked in 2013 at 22.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 15.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

It tracks the Lynchburg City average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $59,671.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.