Westend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680000801 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,191 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Westend neighborhood of Lynchburg anchors census tract 51680000801, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $941 monthly, set against $59,671 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3997, -79.1740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Westend scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Westend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 28%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 263Total filings over 4 yrs
- 15.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.4%Peak (2013)
- 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Westend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.3%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 33.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Westend
What moves this score most is economic stress at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51680000801
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000801?
What is the average rent in tract 51680000801?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000801?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000801?
Is tract 51680000801 considered part of Westend?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680000801?
What share of households in tract 51680000801 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51680000801 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Was tract 51680000801 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.