Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Sandusky Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg

Tract 51680000901 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,769 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51680000901 is a census tract in the Sandusky area of Lynchburg, VA. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,769 residents. Severe burden reaches 56%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 8% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,448

Renter share28.8%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$65,164

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.3754, -79.1961 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sandusky scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynchburg

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,195 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynchburg

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.5

How Sandusky compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
37.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sandusky

71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Lynchburg City average of 43.8%. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

At $1,195 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Lynchburg commands. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $65,164.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680000901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000901?

Census tract 51680000901 in the Sandusky neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51680000901?

Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000901?

11.2% of residents in tract 51680000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,769.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 76th, minority 43th, housing 57th.

Is tract 51680000901 considered part of Sandusky?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000901 fall within Sandusky (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51680000901 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51680000901 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680000901 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.