Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Sandusky Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg

Tract 51680000901 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 3,769 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Sandusky neighborhood of Lynchburg for landlords? Census tract 51680000901 scores 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,195 a month against an average household income of $65,164 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 8% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,448

Renter share28.8%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate11.2%

Median income$65,164

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.3754, -79.1961 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sandusky scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynchburg

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

11.2% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,195 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynchburg

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynchburg

3.5

How Sandusky compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.3%Food insecurity
13.3%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
37.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sandusky

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680000901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680000901?

Census tract 51680000901 in the Sandusky neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51680000901?

Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680000901?

11.2% of residents in tract 51680000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,769.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680000901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 76th, minority 43th, housing 57th.

Is tract 51680000901 considered part of Sandusky?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680000901 fall within Sandusky (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51680000901 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51680000901 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680000901 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.