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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Montview Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg

Tract 51680001400 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 6,482 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is Montview in Lynchburg for landlords? Census tract 51680001400 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $950 a month against an average household income of $48,278 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 31% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units137
Renter share46.0%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$48,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Montview
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg city
Moderate
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#294 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.3692, -79.1627 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montview scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$950 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5

How Montview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montview risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001400Lynchburg: 4.04.0Lynchburgparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 22.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.3%Peak (2014)
  • 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 516800014002013: 16 filings (21.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 20 filings (26.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (21.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (21.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montview

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 65 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 22.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.3% of renter households in 2014.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001400?

Census tract 51680001400 in the Montview neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51680001400?

Median gross rent is $950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001400?

16.6% of residents in tract 51680001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,482.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 57th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 51680001400 considered part of Montview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001400 fall within Montview (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.43% of renter households, peaking at 26.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51680001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51680001400 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680001400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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