Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynchburg
Tract 51680001603 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,617 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51680001603 (the Lakeland area of Lynchburg, Virginia) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,257 monthly, set against $66,435 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3484, -79.2099 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51680001603
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001603?
What is the average rent in tract 51680001603?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001603?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001603?
Is tract 51680001603 considered part of Lakeland?
What share of households in tract 51680001603 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51680001603 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.