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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg

Tract 51680001800 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,339 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51680001800 (the Mayfield neighborhood of Lynchburg, Virginia) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,126 a month against an average household income of $76,773 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 38% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,009
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$76,773

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mayfield
Moderate
Within parent city
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 23 tracts In Lynchburg city
Very Low
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region

Centroid at 37.3791, -79.2293 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfield scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5

How Mayfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 001800Lynchburg: 4.04.0Lynchburgparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.1%Peak (2013)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 516800018002013: 14 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2014: 12 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (2.48/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfield

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lynchburg City County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.1% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51680001800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001800?

Census tract 51680001800 in the Mayfield neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51680001800?

Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001800?

9.0% of residents in tract 51680001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,339.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 59th, minority 41th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 51680001800 considered part of Mayfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001800 fall within Mayfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680001800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680001800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.48% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51680001800 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51680001800 compare to Lynchburg overall?

Tract 51680001800 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lynchburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg

Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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