Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Brambleton Eviction Risk: Elevated , Norfolk
Tract 51710004200 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,543 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 51710004200 in the Brambleton neighborhood of Norfolk ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,543 residents. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $297 a month while the average household earns $13,566 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 93% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 58%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units501
Renter share93.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate72.5%
Median income$13,566
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8540, -76.2758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brambleton scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
72.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$297 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Brambleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 339Total filings over 2 yrs
- 28.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.0%Peak (2016)
- 182Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.2%Housing insecurity
- 34.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 57.4%Food insecurity
- 66.6%SNAP enrollment
- 31.2%Transit barriers
- 20.3%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 59.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brambleton
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 81% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 339 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 29.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.0% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004200?
Census tract 51710004200 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004200?
Median gross rent is $297/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004200?
72.5% of residents in tract 51710004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,543.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 100th, minority 88th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004200 considered part of Brambleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004200 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 339 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.98% of renter households, peaking at 29.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004200 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004200 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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