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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710004200 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,543 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

51710004200 is a census tract in the Brambleton area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,543. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 58% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units501
Renter share93.0%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate72.5%
Median income$13,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Brambleton
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8540, -76.2758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brambleton scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
72.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$297 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Brambleton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brambleton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0042004.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 339Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 28.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.0%Peak (2016)
  • 182Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brambleton

Average gross rent is $297, 78% below the Norfolk average. SNAP participation runs 66.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 72%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 339 filings here across 2 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 29.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004200?

Census tract 51710004200 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004200?

Median gross rent is $297/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004200?

72.5% of residents in tract 51710004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,543.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 100th, minority 88th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004200 considered part of Brambleton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004200 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 339 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.98% of renter households, peaking at 29.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004200 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004200 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004200 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 81% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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