Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710004200 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,543 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51710004200 is a census tract in the Brambleton area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,543. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8540, -76.2758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brambleton scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Brambleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 81%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 339Total filings over 2 yrs
- 28.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.0%Peak (2016)
- 182Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.2%Housing insecurity
- 34.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 57.4%Food insecurity
- 66.6%SNAP enrollment
- 31.2%Transit barriers
- 20.3%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 59.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Brambleton
Average gross rent is $297, 78% below the Norfolk average. SNAP participation runs 66.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 72%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 339 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 29.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51710004200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004200?
What is the average rent in tract 51710004200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004200?
Is tract 51710004200 considered part of Brambleton?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004200?
What share of households in tract 51710004200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51710004200 compare to Norfolk overall?
Was tract 51710004200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.