Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710004300 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51710004300 is a census tract in the Brambleton area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,367 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,436
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate43.3%
Median income$27,132
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8558, -76.2646 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brambleton scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
43.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Brambleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 478Total filings over 2 yrs
- 21.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2011)
- 232Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.6%Housing insecurity
- 28.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.5%Food insecurity
- 52.9%SNAP enrollment
- 24.7%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 49.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brambleton
Food insecurity runs 46.5% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Set annual rent against average income of $27,132 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 63% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City.
Housing insecurity runs 33.6% against 14.2% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $961 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Norfolk commands. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Court records carry 478 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004300?
Census tract 51710004300 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004300?
Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004300?
43.3% of residents in tract 51710004300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 67th, minority 98th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004300 considered part of Brambleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004300 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.38% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004300 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004300 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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