Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Brambleton Eviction Risk: Elevated , Norfolk

Tract 51710004300 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,367 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the Brambleton neighborhood of Norfolk, census tract 51710004300 scores 5.9/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #25,112 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $961 a month against an average household income of $27,132 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 27% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,436
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate43.3%
Median income$27,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Brambleton
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8558, -76.2646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brambleton scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
43.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Brambleton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brambleton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 004300Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 478Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 21.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.2%Peak (2011)
  • 232Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brambleton

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 66% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004300?

Census tract 51710004300 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004300?

Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004300?

43.3% of residents in tract 51710004300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,367.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 67th, minority 98th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004300 considered part of Brambleton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004300 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.38% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004300 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004300 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004300 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related