Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710004700 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,664 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51710004700 covers part of the Brambleton area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,664 residents. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units100
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$63,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8465, -76.2633 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brambleton scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Brambleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 52%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 2 yrs
- 61.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 73.2%Peak (2011)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.9%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.8%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 25.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brambleton
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. At $1,660 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 90 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 73.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 61.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Norfolk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004700?
Census tract 51710004700 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004700?
Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004700?
14.6% of residents in tract 51710004700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,664.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 11th, minority 91th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004700 considered part of Brambleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004700 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 61.62% of renter households, peaking at 73.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004700 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004700 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004700 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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