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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710004700 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,664 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51710004700, home to 2,664 residents in the Brambleton neighborhood of Norfolk, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,660 a month against an average household income of $63,875 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 9% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units100
Renter share34.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$63,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Brambleton
Low
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#38 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Moderate
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#387 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8465, -76.2633 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brambleton scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,660 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Brambleton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brambleton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 004700Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 90Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 61.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 73.2%Peak (2011)
  • 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brambleton

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710004700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004700?

Census tract 51710004700 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710004700?

Median gross rent is $1,660/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004700?

14.6% of residents in tract 51710004700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 11th, minority 91th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 51710004700 considered part of Brambleton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004700 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 61.62% of renter households, peaking at 73.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710004700 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710004700 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710004700 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710004700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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