Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Brambleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710004800 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,438 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51710004800 is a census tract in the Brambleton area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,438. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 62%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units487
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate58.5%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8469, -76.2802 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brambleton scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
58.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$318 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Brambleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 56%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 466Total filings over 2 yrs
- 50.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 53.3%Peak (2016)
- 264Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brambleton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 46.7%Housing insecurity
- 40.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 62.4%Food insecurity
- 70.6%SNAP enrollment
- 35.9%Transit barriers
- 21.8%No health insurance
- 29.5%Frequent mental distress
- 55.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brambleton
At $318 a month, rents run 76% under what the rest of Norfolk commands. SNAP participation runs 70.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 58%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 55.2% against 31.5% nationally.
This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 1.4 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Court records carry 466 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 53.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 50.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710004800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710004800?
Census tract 51710004800 in the Brambleton neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710004800?
Median gross rent is $318/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710004800?
58.5% of residents in tract 51710004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,438.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710004800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 68th, minority 97th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 51710004800 considered part of Brambleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710004800 fall within Brambleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710004800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 466 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 50.32% of renter households, peaking at 53.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710004800 struggle to pay rent?
About 46.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 40.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710004800 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710004800 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710004800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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