Neighborhood · Johnson City, TN

Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,749 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Holly Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Johnson City with 1 census tract and a population of 2,749 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $874/month sits 15% lower than the Johnson City citywide average ($1,023).

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Holly Hill vs Johnson City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.7% +53%

Johnson City: 29.8%

Average gross rent

$874 -15%

Johnson City: $1,023

Average HH income

$44,158 -29%

Johnson City: $62,113

Poverty rate

25.1% +50%

Johnson City: 16.7%

Renter share

64.5% +32%

Johnson City: 48.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holly Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Holly Hill scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

65% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

25.1% below poverty line · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Holly Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Holly Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
47179060800	5.6	2,749	46%	$874

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 87%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Holly Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Holly Hill?

Holly Hill scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Holly Hill compare to Johnson City overall?

Holly Hill scores 3.3 points higher than Johnson City overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $874 vs $1,023.

What is the average rent in Holly Hill?

Average gross rent in Holly Hill is $874/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Holly Hill residents are renters?

65% of Holly Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 2,749 residents.

Is Holly Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Holly Hill sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Holly Hill for landlords?

Holly Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Holly Hill?

Holly Hill has 2,914 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.8%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holly Hill

5 Camp Wildwood 2 tracts · pop 7,428 4.7 Wellington Park 2 tracts · pop 6,540

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnson City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holly Hill.

5.6 East Ridge 1 tracts · pop 3,307 5.5 Brookmead 1 tracts · pop 2,845 5.5 Westover 1 tracts · pop 4,391 6 Cherokee Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,238 5.1 Rural Ridge 1 tracts · pop 3,628 6.1 Melrose 1 tracts · pop 3,114

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