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Neighborhood · Johnson City, TN

Holly Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,749 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Holly Hill maps to a single census tract in Johnson City, TN and houses 2,749 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Johnson City baseline of 29.8%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $874, 15% below the Johnson City average of $1,023.

That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Johnson City. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cherokee Hills and Melrose.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $44,158. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Holly Hill vs Johnson City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +53%
Johnson City: 29.8%
Average gross rent
$874 -15%
Johnson City: $1,023
Average HH income
$44,158 -29%
Johnson City: $62,113
Poverty rate
25.1% +50%
Johnson City: 16.7%
Renter share
64.5% +32%
Johnson City: 48.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holly Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Holly Hill scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
25.1% below poverty line · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Holly Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Holly Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Holly HillNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Holly Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
47179060800 4.8 2,749 46% $874
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Holly Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Holly Hill?

Holly Hill scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Holly Hill compare to Johnson City overall?

Holly Hill scores 1.4 points higher than Johnson City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $874 vs $1,023.
Q3

What is the average rent in Holly Hill?

Average gross rent in Holly Hill is $874/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Holly Hill residents are renters?

65% of Holly Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 2,749 residents.
Q5

Is Holly Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Holly Hill sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Holly Hill for landlords?

Holly Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Holly Hill?

Holly Hill has 2,914 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.8%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holly Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnson City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holly Hill.

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