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Neighborhood · Johnson City, TN

Grandview Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,841 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Grandview maps to a single census tract in Johnson City, TN and houses 3,841 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. Against a Johnson City baseline of 29.8%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $770, 25% below the Johnson City average of $1,023.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. On the high side is economic stress at 8.1/10. That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Johnson City.

For a like-for-like read, Holly Hill and Melrose score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $29,688.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grandview vs Johnson City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.8% +60%
Johnson City: 29.8%
Average gross rent
$770 -25%
Johnson City: $1,023
Average HH income
$29,688 -52%
Johnson City: $62,113
Poverty rate
32.4% +94%
Johnson City: 16.7%
Renter share
74.5% +53%
Johnson City: 48.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grandview and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Grandview scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
32.4% below poverty line · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Grandview vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grandview score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8GrandviewNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grandview

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
47179060100 4.8 3,841 48% $770
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Grandview

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grandview?

Grandview scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grandview compare to Johnson City overall?

Grandview scores 1.4 points higher than Johnson City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $770 vs $1,023.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grandview?

Average gross rent in Grandview is $770/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grandview residents are renters?

75% of Grandview households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 3,841 residents.
Q5

Is Grandview a high social-vulnerability area?

Grandview sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grandview for landlords?

Grandview carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grandview?

Grandview has 3,705 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (71.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.5%), Other / Multiracial (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grandview

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnson City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grandview.

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