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Neighborhood · Johnson City, TN

Rural Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,628 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Rural Ridge is a one-tract neighborhood of Johnson City, TN and houses 3,628 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Against a Johnson City baseline of 29.8%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $891, 13% below the Johnson City average of $1,023.

Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Johnson City, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Wellington Park and Camp Wildwood score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rural Ridge vs Johnson City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.1% +28%
Johnson City: 29.8%
Average gross rent
$891 -13%
Johnson City: $1,023
Average HH income
$70,699 +14%
Johnson City: $62,113
Poverty rate
24.8% +48%
Johnson City: 16.7%
Renter share
30.4% -38%
Johnson City: 48.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rural Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Rural Ridge scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
24.8% below poverty line · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Rural Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rural Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Rural RidgeNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rural Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
47179060601 4.2 3,628 38% $891
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 13%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Rural Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rural Ridge?

Rural Ridge scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rural Ridge compare to Johnson City overall?

Rural Ridge scores 0.8 points higher than Johnson City overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $891 vs $1,023.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rural Ridge?

Average gross rent in Rural Ridge is $891/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rural Ridge residents are renters?

30% of Rural Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Johnson City). The neighborhood has 3,628 residents.
Q5

Is Rural Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Rural Ridge sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rural Ridge for landlords?

Rural Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Johnson City as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rural Ridge?

Rural Ridge has 3,719 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (92.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.3%), Other / Multiracial (2.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rural Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Johnson City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rural Ridge.

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