South Texas Medical Center Eviction Risk: Moderate

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 3,653 across 7 observed tracts. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 3/10.

The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 7.1% of renter households. That places it #15 of 88 neighborhoods in San Antonio.

Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are River Road and Columbia Heights.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 7 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.