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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Bryan Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48041000502 · Brazos, TX · pop 1,599

48041000502 is a census tract in Bryan, TX. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 6% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units459
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$33,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 28 tracts In Bryan
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 63 tracts In Brazos
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bryan and the region

Centroid at 30.6799, -96.3770 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bryan scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bryan
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,364 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bryan
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bryan
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bryan
8.2

How Bryan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bryan risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0005024.3Bryanparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bryan

87% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Brazos County average of 53.3%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 42.4% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $33,188, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. Against the Brazos County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Average gross rent is $1,364, 14% above the Bryan average.

The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48041000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48041000502?

Census tract 48041000502 in Bryan scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48041000502?

Median gross rent is $1,364/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48041000502?

52.6% of residents in tract 48041000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,599.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48041000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 99th, minority 91th, housing 19th.
Q5

How does tract 48041000502 compare to Bryan overall?

Tract 48041000502 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bryan at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bryan eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bryan

Top eight tracts in Bryan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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