Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021000 · Denton, TX · pop 6,360 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 48121021000 sits in the Denton Square area of Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 6,360. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2056, -97.1468 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 336Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2016)
- 42Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 181Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Denton Square
Against Denton County at 45.5%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $37,122, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 336 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $1,245 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Denton commands.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 48121021000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021000?
What is the average rent in tract 48121021000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021000?
Is tract 48121021000 considered part of Denton Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021000?
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021000 drop during COVID?
How does tract 48121021000 compare to Denton overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.