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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121021100 · Denton, TX · pop 3,028 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48121021100 (the Denton Square area of Denton, Texas) comes in at 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,115 monthly, set against $38,235 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 99% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 44% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,985
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$38,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 34 tracts In Denton
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#768 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2104, -97.1349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 021100Denton: 3.03.0Dentonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 497Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 2.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2010)
  • 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210211002001: 15 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)2002: 14 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2003: 21 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 36 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2006: 32 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2007: 51 filings (4.73/100 renter HHs)2010: 65 filings (3.99/100 renter HHs)2011: 47 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 51 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2016: 35 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 339Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-04-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2021-05-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-04-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 8 filings (2.91× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-11-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-04-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-08-01: 12 filings (4.36× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2025-04-01: 14 filings (2.95× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-09-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2025-11-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 9 filings (90.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 497 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2010.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.31x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021100?

Census tract 48121021100 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121021100?

Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021100?

31.9% of residents in tract 48121021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,028.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 2th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 48121021100 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021100 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 497 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48121021100 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121021100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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