Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121021100 · Denton, TX · pop 3,028 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 48121021100 in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,028. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 44% Owners 1%

Tract context

Occupied units1,985

Renter share99.2%

SVI overall0.37

Poverty rate31.9%

Median income$38,235

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2104, -97.1349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Denton

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.6

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

31.9% poverty · this tract

8.0

Supply constraint

$1,115 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Denton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Denton

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Denton

3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

497Total filings over 13 yrs
2.67%Avg annual filing rate
4.0%Peak (2010)
35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 to 2016

Filings climbed 133% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

339Total filings 2020-21
4.4Avg monthly (observed)
3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.31×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,235 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.5% across Denton County. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Average gross rent is $1,115, 21% below the Denton average. Court records carry 497 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.0% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021100?

Census tract 48121021100 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48121021100?

Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021100?

31.9% of residents in tract 48121021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,028.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 2th, minority 41th, housing 40th.

Is tract 48121021100 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021100 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 497 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

How does tract 48121021100 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121021100 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org