Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021100 · Denton, TX · pop 3,028 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 48121021100 in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,028. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,985
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$38,235
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2104, -97.1349 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 497Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2010)
- 35Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 339Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton Square
31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,235 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.5% across Denton County. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Average gross rent is $1,115, 21% below the Denton average. Court records carry 497 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 4.0% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021100?
Census tract 48121021100 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021100?
Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021100?
31.9% of residents in tract 48121021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,028.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 2th, minority 41th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021100 considered part of Denton Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021100 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 497 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021100 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021100 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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