Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020403 · Denton, TX · pop 3,876 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 48121020403 in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,876. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,702
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$65,139
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2243, -97.1525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 255Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 254Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton Square
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Denton County average of 45.5%. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 255 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $1,564 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Denton commands.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 3.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020403?
Census tract 48121020403 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020403?
Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020403?
19.5% of residents in tract 48121020403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,876.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 9th, minority 21th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 48121020403 considered part of Denton Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020403 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 255 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.45% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121020403 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020403 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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