Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020132 · Denton, TX · pop 6,129 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
Census tract 48121020132 covers part of Little Elm, TX, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 74% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$153,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1856, -96.8934 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$2,763 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 21Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%. The voucher gap is 46.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.7/10. At $2,763 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Little Elm commands.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.7 points above the Denton County average of 3.8.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020132
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020132?
Census tract 48121020132 in Little Elm scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020132?
Median gross rent is $2,763/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020132?
18.2% of residents in tract 48121020132 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020132?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 15th, minority 71th, housing 0th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020132 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020132 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020132 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020120
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020126
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020119
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
3
/ 10 · Low
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