Little Elm Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020132 · Denton, TX · pop 6,129 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
Census tract 48121020132 covers part of Little Elm, TX, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 74% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1856, -96.8934 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 21Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%. The voucher gap is 46.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.7/10. At $2,763 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Little Elm commands.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.7 points above the Denton County average of 3.8.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 48121020132
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020132?
What is the average rent in tract 48121020132?
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020132?
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020132?
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020132 drop during COVID?
How does tract 48121020132 compare to Little Elm overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.