Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,047, 56% above the Little Elm average. The voucher gap is 61.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.