Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020127 · Denton, TX · pop 7,499 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
How risky is Little Elm for landlords? Census tract 48121020127 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,486 monthly, set against $91,809 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,547
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$91,809
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1482, -96.9484 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 164Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Elm, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.22x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020127
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020127?
Census tract 48121020127 in Little Elm scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020127?
Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020127?
9.9% of residents in tract 48121020127 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,499.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020127?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 94th, minority 79th, housing 78th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020127 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020127 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020127 scores 2.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Little Elm at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020120
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020132
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020126
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020119
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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