Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020126 · Denton, TX · pop 3,642
Census tract 48121020126 covers Little Elm in Denton County, home to 3,642 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #55,656 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,820 a month while the average household earns $103,147 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$103,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
13
th percentile
Very Low
National
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1669, -96.9397 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,820 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 247Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Elm, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.79x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020126
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020126?
Census tract 48121020126 in Little Elm scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020126?
Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020126?
8.1% of residents in tract 48121020126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020126?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 64th, minority 76th, housing 24th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020126 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020126 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020126 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020120
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020132
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020119
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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