Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020126 · Denton, TX · pop 3,642
Census tract 48121020126 covers part of Little Elm, TX, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,642. Cost burden runs 27% here against 45.5% across Denton County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$103,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1669, -96.9397 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,820 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 247Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,820, close to the Little Elm average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $103,147. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020126
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020126?
Census tract 48121020126 in Little Elm scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020126?
Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020126?
8.1% of residents in tract 48121020126 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,642.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020126?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 64th, minority 76th, housing 24th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020126 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020126 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020126 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020132
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020120
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020119
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
3
/ 10 · Low
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