Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020133 · Denton, TX · pop 8,010 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
48121020133 is a census tract in Little Elm, TX. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,010. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,186
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$143,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1934, -96.8987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,063 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $143,788, annual rent is just 17%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $2,063, close to the Little Elm average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020133
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020133?
Census tract 48121020133 in Little Elm scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020133?
Median gross rent is $2,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020133?
7.3% of residents in tract 48121020133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,010.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020133?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 55th, minority 71th, housing 10th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020133 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020133 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020133 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020132
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020120
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020126
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020119
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
3
/ 10 · Low
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