Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020120 · Denton, TX · pop 7,171
Census tract 48121020120 covers part of Little Elm, TX, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,040
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$119,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1746, -96.9040 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,327 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 99Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.10×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. The voucher gap is 23.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,327 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Little Elm commands.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $119,406.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020120?
Census tract 48121020120 in Little Elm scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020120?
Median gross rent is $2,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020120?
13.9% of residents in tract 48121020120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 22th, minority 66th, housing 21th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020120 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020120 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020120 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020132
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020126
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020119
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
3
/ 10 · Low
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