Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020120 · Denton, TX · pop 7,171
Tract 48121020120, home to 7,171 residents in Little Elm in Denton County, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,327 monthly, set against $119,406 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,040
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$119,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
National
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1746, -96.9040 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,327 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 99Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.10×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Elm, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.10x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020120
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020120?
Census tract 48121020120 in Little Elm scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020120?
Median gross rent is $2,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020120?
13.9% of residents in tract 48121020120 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020120?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 22th, minority 66th, housing 21th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020120 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020120 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020120 scores 2.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Little Elm at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020132
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020126
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020119
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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