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Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121020119 · Denton, TX · pop 4,126

Census tract 48121020119 covers part of Little Elm, TX, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,126 residents. Cost burden runs 19% here against 45.5% across Denton County.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 12% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,368
Renter share14.7%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$114,479

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Little Elm
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 193 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#3,941 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,558 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Elm and the region

Centroid at 33.1772, -96.9211 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Elm scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,244 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3

How Little Elm compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Elm risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 020119Little Elm: 4.04.0Little Elmparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Elm

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,244 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Little Elm commands.

Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020119

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020119?

Census tract 48121020119 in Little Elm scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020119?

Median gross rent is $2,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020119?

1.6% of residents in tract 48121020119 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,126.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020119?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 52th, minority 70th, housing 9th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020119 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121020119 compare to Little Elm overall?

Tract 48121020119 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm

Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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