Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020130 ·
Denton, TX · pop 2,433 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
48121020130 is a census tract in Little Elm, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,433. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 6%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$132,941
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
13th percentile
#8 of 9 tracts In Little Elm
Very Low
Within county
27th percentile
#141 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.2000, -96.9621 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,823 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
13%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
117Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
2.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $132,941, annual rent is just 16%.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,823, close to the Little Elm average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020130
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020130?
Census tract 48121020130 in Little Elm scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020130?
Median gross rent is $1,823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020130?
0.4% of residents in tract 48121020130 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,433.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020130?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 5th, minority 54th, housing 24th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020130 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020130 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020130 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.