Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Colony Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sugar Land
Tract 48157674002 · Fort Bend, TX · pop 4,494 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 48157674002 in the Colony Bend area of Sugar Land, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,494 residents. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,106
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$85,880
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sugar Land and the region
Centroid at 29.5908, -95.6182 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colony Bend scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sugar Land
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,927 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sugar Land
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sugar Land
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sugar Land
2.0
How Colony Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colony Bend
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 42.8% across Fort Bend County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The voucher gap is 26.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Fort Bend County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,927, close to the Sugar Land average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $85,880. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48157674002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157674002?
Census tract 48157674002 in the Colony Bend neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48157674002?
Median gross rent is $1,927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48157674002?
10.2% of residents in tract 48157674002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,494.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48157674002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 90th, minority 73th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 48157674002 considered part of Colony Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157674002 fall within Colony Bend (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48157674002 compare to Sugar Land overall?
Tract 48157674002 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Sugar Land at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sugar Land eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sugar Land
Top eight tracts in Sugar Land ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48157672003
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48157672202
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Huntington Village
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48157672305
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Settlers Park
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
New Territory
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48157672306
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
New Territory
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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