Sharyland Plantation Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 74.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 9.4/10. 29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against a McAllen baseline of 30.5%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #6 of 9 neighborhoods in McAllen. At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, The Embers and Ventana del Sol score within a fraction of it. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.