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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Lincolnia Park Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 4,723 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.6–3.5

Lincolnia Park is a diverse neighborhood in Alexandria with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,723 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,012/month sits 4% lower than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lincolnia Park vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +58%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,012 -4%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$85,286 -25%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
10.6% +26%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
49.9% -14%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincolnia Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.6–3.5

Why Lincolnia Park scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
10.6% below poverty line · Range 1.7–4.5 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Lincolnia Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincolnia Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lincolnia Park: 2.92.9Lincolnia ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lincolnia Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51510200108 3.5 1,651 41% $2,093
51510200407 2.6 3,072 47% $1,969
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 18%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincolnia Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincolnia Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincolnia Park?

Lincolnia Park scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincolnia Park compare to Alexandria overall?

Lincolnia Park scores 1.7 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,012 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincolnia Park?

Average gross rent in Lincolnia Park is $2,012/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincolnia Park residents are renters?

50% of Lincolnia Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 4,723 residents.
Q5

Is Lincolnia Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincolnia Park sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincolnia Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincolnia Park is census tract 51510200108 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 3.5, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincolnia Park for landlords?

Lincolnia Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincolnia Park?

Lincolnia Park has 4,598 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincolnia Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincolnia Park.

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