2 census tracts · pop 7,698 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 4.9–5.7
Seminary Valley takes in 2 census tracts of Alexandria, VA, population 7,698. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Against a Alexandria baseline of 28.3%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Average gross rent is $2,223, 6% above the Alexandria average of $2,089. That places it #17 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. Against average income of $138,676, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Seminary Valley vs AlexandriaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seminary Valley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.8%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
10.3%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Seminary Valley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Seminary Valley?
Seminary Valley scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Seminary Valley compare to Alexandria overall?
Seminary Valley scores 0.7 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,223 vs $2,089.
Q3
What is the average rent in Seminary Valley?
Average gross rent in Seminary Valley is $2,223/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Seminary Valley residents are renters?
44% of Seminary Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 7,698 residents.
Q5
Is Seminary Valley a high social-vulnerability area?
Seminary Valley sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Seminary Valley have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Seminary Valley is census tract 51510200305 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.7, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Seminary Valley for landlords?
Seminary Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Seminary Valley?
Seminary Valley has 7,383 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
