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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Seminary Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,698 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.9/10 · range 1.7–2.2

Seminary Valley is a white-black neighborhood in Alexandria with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,698 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 15% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,223/month sits 6% higher than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score
1.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Seminary Valley vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +44%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,223 +6%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$138,676 +22%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
4.5% -46%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
44.2% -24%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminary Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.7–2.2

Why Seminary Valley scores 1.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
4.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–5.3 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Seminary Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seminary Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Seminary Valley: 1.91.9Seminary ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Seminary Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51510200305 2.2 2,931 32% $1,964
51510200302 1.7 4,767 46% $2,383
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seminary Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seminary Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seminary Valley?

Seminary Valley scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seminary Valley compare to Alexandria overall?

Seminary Valley scores 2.7 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,223 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seminary Valley?

Average gross rent in Seminary Valley is $2,223/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seminary Valley residents are renters?

44% of Seminary Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 7,698 residents.
Q5

Is Seminary Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Seminary Valley sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Seminary Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Seminary Valley is census tract 51510200305 (score 2.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.7 to 2.2, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Seminary Valley for landlords?

Seminary Valley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Seminary Valley?

Seminary Valley has 7,383 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seminary Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seminary Valley.

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