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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Fort Ward Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,132 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 5.6–6.8

Fort Ward Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 8,132. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Alexandria rate of 28.3%.

This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 6.8, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,825, 13% below the Alexandria average of $2,089.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #7 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Washington Forest and Beverley Hills score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $84,199.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Fort Ward Heights vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.2% +46%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$1,825 -13%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$84,199 -26%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
5.1% -39%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
89.8% +55%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Ward Heights and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.6–6.8

Why Fort Ward Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
90% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
5.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–4.6 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Fort Ward Heights vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fort Ward Heights score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3Fort Ward HeightsNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Fort Ward Heights

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510200105 6.8 4,549 36% $1,520
51510200111 5.6 3,583 48% $2,212
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 50%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fort Ward Heights

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fort Ward Heights

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fort Ward Heights?

Fort Ward Heights scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fort Ward Heights compare to Alexandria overall?

Fort Ward Heights scores 0.4 points higher than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fort Ward Heights?

Average gross rent in Fort Ward Heights is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fort Ward Heights residents are renters?

90% of Fort Ward Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 8,132 residents.
Q5

Is Fort Ward Heights a high social-vulnerability area?

Fort Ward Heights sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fort Ward Heights have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fort Ward Heights is census tract 51510200105 (score 6.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.8, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Fort Ward Heights for landlords?

Fort Ward Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fort Ward Heights?

Fort Ward Heights has 7,681 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fort Ward Heights

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fort Ward Heights.

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