2 census tracts · pop 8,132 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10
· range 5.6–6.8
Fort Ward Heights is a 2-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 8,132. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Alexandria rate of 28.3%.
This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 6.8, a 1.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,825, 13% below the Alexandria average of $2,089.
Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #7 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Washington Forest and Beverley Hills score within a fraction of it.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $84,199.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Fort Ward Heights vs AlexandriaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fort Ward Heights
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.4%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility shutoff threat
17.1%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
26.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Fort Ward Heights
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Fort Ward Heights?
Fort Ward Heights scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Fort Ward Heights compare to Alexandria overall?
Fort Ward Heights scores 0.4 points higher than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,825 vs $2,089.
Q3
What is the average rent in Fort Ward Heights?
Average gross rent in Fort Ward Heights is $1,825/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Fort Ward Heights residents are renters?
90% of Fort Ward Heights households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 8,132 residents.
Q5
Is Fort Ward Heights a high social-vulnerability area?
Fort Ward Heights sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Fort Ward Heights have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Fort Ward Heights is census tract 51510200105 (score 6.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 6.8, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Fort Ward Heights for landlords?
Fort Ward Heights carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Fort Ward Heights?
Fort Ward Heights has 7,681 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.