2 census tracts · pop 8,999 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 7–7.3
Dowden Terrace is a 2-tract neighborhood of Alexandria, VA, population 8,999. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.1/10, Elevated tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Alexandria rate of 28.3%.
Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, WestEnd Alexandria and Shirley Duke score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes.
Average gross rent runs $2,063, close to the Alexandria average. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $78,504.
With little internal variation, 7.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Dowden Terrace vs AlexandriaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dowden Terrace
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.4%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility shutoff threat
21.9%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
16.4%No health insurance
30.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Dowden Terrace
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Dowden Terrace?
Dowden Terrace scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Dowden Terrace compare to Alexandria overall?
Dowden Terrace scores 1.2 points higher than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,063 vs $2,089.
Q3
What is the average rent in Dowden Terrace?
Average gross rent in Dowden Terrace is $2,063/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Dowden Terrace residents are renters?
87% of Dowden Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 8,999 residents.
Q5
Is Dowden Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?
Dowden Terrace sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Dowden Terrace have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dowden Terrace is census tract 51510200104 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7 to 7.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Dowden Terrace for landlords?
Dowden Terrace carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Dowden Terrace?
Dowden Terrace has 9,572 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
