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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Dowden Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,999 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.2–3.6

Dowden Terrace is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Alexandria with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,999 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,063/month sits 1% lower than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Dowden Terrace vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.9% +108%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,063 -1%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$78,504 -31%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
14.3% +70%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
87.4% +51%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dowden Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.2–3.6

Why Dowden Terrace scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
14.3% below poverty line · Range 2.8–4.4 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–4.4 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Dowden Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dowden Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Dowden Terrace: 3.43.4Dowden TerraceNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Dowden Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51510200104 3.6 4,311 59% $2,183
51510200102 3.2 4,688 59% $1,952
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 67%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dowden Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dowden Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dowden Terrace?

Dowden Terrace scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dowden Terrace compare to Alexandria overall?

Dowden Terrace scores 1.2 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,063 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dowden Terrace?

Average gross rent in Dowden Terrace is $2,063/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dowden Terrace residents are renters?

87% of Dowden Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 8,999 residents.
Q5

Is Dowden Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Dowden Terrace sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Dowden Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dowden Terrace is census tract 51510200104 (score 3.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 3.6, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Dowden Terrace for landlords?

Dowden Terrace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Dowden Terrace?

Dowden Terrace has 9,572 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dowden Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dowden Terrace.

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