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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Delta Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,179 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10 · range 4.9–5.9

Delta takes in 2 census tracts of Alexandria, VA, population 7,179. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, Moderate tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Alexandria rate of 28.3%.

The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $2,541, 22% above the Alexandria average of $2,089.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.7/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.9 to 5.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Alexandria, it ranks #10 by risk, the middle third.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Parkfairfax and Lynhaven score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $153,912, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Delta vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.4% +71%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,541 +22%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$153,912 +35%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
10.5% +25%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
27.3% -53%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Delta and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.9–5.9

Why Delta scores 5.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
10.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–10.0 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Delta vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Delta score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.7DeltaNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Delta

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510200600 5.9 5,647 54% $2,280
51510200202 4.9 1,532 27% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Delta

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Delta

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Delta?

Delta scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Delta compare to Alexandria overall?

Delta scores 0.2 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,541 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Delta?

Average gross rent in Delta is $2,541/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Delta residents are renters?

27% of Delta households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 7,179 residents.
Q5

Is Delta a high social-vulnerability area?

Delta sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Delta have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Delta is census tract 51510200600 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.9, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Delta for landlords?

Delta carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Delta?

Delta has 7,034 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Delta

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Delta.

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