Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Delta Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,179 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.3/10 · range 1.7–2.4

Delta is a white-black neighborhood in Alexandria with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,179 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,541/month sits 22% higher than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score

2.3

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Delta vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.4% +71%

Alexandria: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$2,541 +22%

Alexandria: $2,089

Average HH income

$153,912 +35%

Alexandria: $113,638

Poverty rate

10.5% +25%

Alexandria: 8.4%

Renter share

27.3% -53%

Alexandria: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Delta and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.7–2.4

Why Delta scores 2.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

27% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

10.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–10.0 across tracts

6.0

Risk score comparison

Delta vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Delta

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51510200600	2.4	5,647	54%	$2,280
51510200202	1.7	1,532	27%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 31%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 48%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Delta

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.8%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
7.8%No health insurance
25.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Delta

What is the eviction-risk score for Delta?

Delta scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Delta compare to Alexandria overall?

Delta scores 2.3 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,541 vs $2,089.

What is the average rent in Delta?

Average gross rent in Delta is $2,541/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Delta residents are renters?

27% of Delta households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 7,179 residents.

Is Delta a high social-vulnerability area?

Delta sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Delta have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Delta is census tract 51510200600 (score 2.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.7 to 2.4, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Delta for landlords?

Delta carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Delta?

Delta has 7,034 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (24.8%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Delta

2 Seminary Valley 2 tracts · pop 7,698 3.4 WestEnd Alexandria 5 tracts · pop 21,076 2.6 Fort Ward Heights 2 tracts · pop 8,132 1.8 Rosemont 4 tracts · pop 12,604 3.4 Dowden Terrace 2 tracts · pop 8,999 3.1 Beverley Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,955

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Delta.

2.3 Lynhaven 2 tracts · pop 5,315 2.2 Parkfairfax 1 tracts · pop 3,209 2.1 Brad Lee 1 tracts · pop 3,718 2.5 Varsity Park 1 tracts · pop 3,225 2 Cameron Valley 1 tracts · pop 764 2.6 Fort Ward Heights 2 tracts · pop 8,132

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