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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

North Fairlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,230 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

North Fairlington maps to a single census tract in Alexandria, VA, population 2,230. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Alexandria baseline of 28.3%, 21% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Disability prevalence reaches 17.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Food insecurity affects 6.5% of adults, 11.3 points below the national rate. That places it #21 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. For a like-for-like read, Oakville and Warwick Village score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,064, close to the Alexandria average.

49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
North Fairlington vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
21.0% -26%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,064 -1%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$130,417 +15%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
0.3% -96%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
48.5% -16%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Fairlington and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why North Fairlington scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
21% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
0.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

North Fairlington vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Fairlington score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9North FairlingtonNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in North Fairlington

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510200110 4.9 2,230 21% $2,064
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Fairlington

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Fairlington

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Fairlington?

North Fairlington scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Fairlington compare to Alexandria overall?

North Fairlington scores 1.0 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,064 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Fairlington?

Average gross rent in North Fairlington is $2,064/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Fairlington residents are renters?

49% of North Fairlington households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 2,230 residents.
Q5

Is North Fairlington a high social-vulnerability area?

North Fairlington sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is North Fairlington for landlords?

North Fairlington carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of North Fairlington?

North Fairlington has 2,211 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Fairlington

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Fairlington.

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