Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Oakville Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 9,399 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.6–2.4

Oakville is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Alexandria with 4 census tracts and a population of 9,399 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,477/month sits 19% higher than the Alexandria citywide average ($2,089).

Risk score

1.7

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Oakville vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.7% +8%

Alexandria: 28.3%

Average gross rent

$2,477 +19%

Alexandria: $2,089

Average HH income

$178,808 +57%

Alexandria: $113,638

Poverty rate

4.6% -45%

Alexandria: 8.4%

Renter share

47.8% -17%

Alexandria: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.6–2.4

Why Oakville scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

31% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

48% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

4.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–6.0 across tracts

5.7

Risk score comparison

Oakville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oakville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.8 points from 1.6 to 2.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

2.4 1.9 1.6 1.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Oakville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51510980000	2.4	—	—	—
51510201804	1.9	3,302	40%	$2,553
51510201300	1.6	3,722	16%	$2,519
51510201803	1.6	2,375	41%	$2,305

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 3%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 38%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oakville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.0%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
3.7%SNAP enrollment
4.5%No health insurance
18.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Oakville

What is the eviction-risk score for Oakville?

Oakville scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Oakville compare to Alexandria overall?

Oakville scores 2.9 points lower than Alexandria overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,477 vs $2,089.

What is the average rent in Oakville?

Average gross rent in Oakville is $2,477/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Oakville residents are renters?

48% of Oakville households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 9,399 residents.

Is Oakville a high social-vulnerability area?

Oakville sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Oakville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oakville is census tract 51510980000 (score 2.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.6 to 2.4, a spread of 0.8 points.

How safe is Oakville for landlords?

Oakville carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Oakville?

Oakville has 9,206 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.7%), Hispanic / Latino (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oakville

2.4 Lynhaven 2 tracts · pop 5,315 1.8 Rosemont 4 tracts · pop 12,604 1.9 Alexandria Historic District 5 tracts · pop 14,352 3.1 Beverley Hills 2 tracts · pop 7,955 1.9 Captains Row 2 tracts · pop 4,812 2.1 Delta 2 tracts · pop 7,179

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oakville.

1.7 North Fairlington 1 tracts · pop 2,230 1.6 Warwick Village 1 tracts · pop 3,569 1.6 Wakefield 1 tracts · pop 4,057 1.6 Braddock 1 tracts · pop 4,132 1.6 Chinquapin Village 1 tracts · pop 3,415 1.8 Winslow Hills 1 tracts · pop 1,671

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