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Neighborhood · Alexandria, VA

Oakville Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 9,399 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.8–5.9

Oakville takes in 4 census tracts of Alexandria, VA, population 9,399. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.8 to 5.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. At $2,477 a month, rents sit 19% over what the rest of Alexandria commands.

Food insecurity affects 5.4% of adults, 12.4 points below the national rate. The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Disability prevalence reaches 18.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

That places it #21 of 26 neighborhoods in Alexandria. The closest comparables inside the same city are North Fairlington and Warwick Village.

Against average income of $178,808, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Oakville vs Alexandria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.7% +8%
Alexandria: 28.3%
Average gross rent
$2,477 +19%
Alexandria: $2,089
Average HH income
$178,808 +57%
Alexandria: $113,638
Poverty rate
4.6% -45%
Alexandria: 8.4%
Renter share
47.8% -17%
Alexandria: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4.8–5.9

Why Oakville scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
4.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–6.0 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Oakville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Oakville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9OakvilleNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Oakville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 4.8 to 5.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Oakville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51510980000 5.9 , , ,
51510201804 5.2 3,302 40% $2,553
51510201300 4.8 3,722 16% $2,519
51510201803 4.8 2,375 41% $2,305
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 5

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Oakville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Oakville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Oakville?

Oakville scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Oakville compare to Alexandria overall?

Oakville scores 1.0 points lower than Alexandria overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,477 vs $2,089.
Q3

What is the average rent in Oakville?

Average gross rent in Oakville is $2,477/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Oakville residents are renters?

48% of Oakville households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Alexandria). The neighborhood has 9,399 residents.
Q5

Is Oakville a high social-vulnerability area?

Oakville sits in the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Oakville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Oakville is census tract 51510980000 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.9, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Oakville for landlords?

Oakville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Alexandria as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Oakville?

Oakville has 9,206 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.7%), Hispanic / Latino (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Oakville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Alexandria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Oakville.

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