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Neighborhood · Arlington, VA

National Landing Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 13,117 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.4–6.6

National Landing takes in 5 census tracts of Arlington, VA and houses 13,117 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. This is a renter market: 92% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.4 to 6.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 32% against 26.5% citywide, putting National Landing 5.5% over its own city. SNAP participation is 3.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 44 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The voucher gap is 13.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,614, 13% above the Arlington average of $2,322. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households. 4.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #16 of 39 neighborhoods in Arlington.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
National Landing vs Arlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.0% +21%
Arlington: 26.5%
Average gross rent
$2,614 +13%
Arlington: $2,322
Average HH income
$139,809 0%
Arlington: $140,160
Poverty rate
6.4% -10%
Arlington: 7.1%
Renter share
92.0% +57%
Arlington: 58.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across National Landing and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 5.4–6.6

Why National Landing scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
92% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
6.4% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.0 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.2 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

National Landing vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

National Landing score vs. parent city, state, U.S.National Landing: 5.95.9National LandingNeighborhoodParent city: 6.06.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in National Landing?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 5.4 to 6.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in National Landing

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51013103503 6.6 4,754 40% $2,328
51013980200 6
51013103404 5.8 1,284 23% $2,659
51013103405 5.5 3,852 24% $2,815
51013103504 5.4 3,227 33% $2,776
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 10%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in National Landing

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 44Total filings (sum)
  • 1.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.89%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in National Landing

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About National Landing

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for National Landing?

National Landing scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does National Landing compare to Arlington overall?

National Landing scores 0.1 points lower than Arlington overall (6/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,614 vs $2,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in National Landing?

Average gross rent in National Landing is $2,614/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of National Landing residents are renters?

92% of National Landing households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Arlington). The neighborhood has 13,117 residents.
Q5

Is National Landing a high social-vulnerability area?

National Landing sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in National Landing have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in National Landing is census tract 51013103503 (score 6.6/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 6.6, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is National Landing for landlords?

National Landing carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arlington as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of National Landing?

National Landing has 12,463 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near National Landing

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Arlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to National Landing.

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