Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Gilmerton Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021402 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 6,318 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51550021402 in the Gilmerton area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,318 residents. Against Chesapeake City at 49.2%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,290
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$86,402
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7612, -76.3227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gilmerton scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,255 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Gilmerton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 592Total filings over 6 yrs
- 27.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.3%Peak (2014)
- 81Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gilmerton
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
At $1,255 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 592 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 32.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 27.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $86,402, annual rent is just 17%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021402?
Census tract 51550021402 in the Gilmerton neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021402?
Median gross rent is $1,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021402?
5.4% of residents in tract 51550021402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,318.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 36th, minority 58th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021402 considered part of Gilmerton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021402 fall within Gilmerton (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 592 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.25% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550021402 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550021402 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021402 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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