Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Gilmerton Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021402 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 6,318 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 51550021402 in the Gilmerton area of Chesapeake ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,318 residents. That is riskier than about 17% of US census tracts.
71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,255 a month against an average household income of $86,402 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,290
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$86,402
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7612, -76.3227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gilmerton scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,255 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Gilmerton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 592Total filings over 6 yrs
- 27.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.3%Peak (2014)
- 81Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gilmerton
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 592 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 27.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.3% of renter households in 2014.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021402?
Census tract 51550021402 in the Gilmerton neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021402?
Median gross rent is $1,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021402?
5.4% of residents in tract 51550021402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,318.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 36th, minority 58th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021402 considered part of Gilmerton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021402 fall within Gilmerton (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 592 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.25% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550021402 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550021402 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021402 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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