Oakton, VA Eviction Risk Score Fairfax · Virginia · Pop. 36,528
Oakton, VA sits at 4.8/10 — Moderate risk. 25.1% rent burden, 33.4% renters, ~55-day typical timeline.
Location & regional heat
Sub-score breakdown
Each component on a 1–10 scale. Ticks mark the 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles nationally.
About eviction risk in Oakton, VA
Oakton, VA has an eviction risk score of 4.8 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Fairfax and the state of Virginia. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.
Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 25.1% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Oakton is $2,276/month. About 33.4% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.
Economic stress: poverty rate 4.1%, unemployment 2.4%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.
Political climate: In 2020, Fairfax voted Democratic by 38.3 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.
What this score means for landlords
At 4.8/10, Oakton is a lower-risk environment. Standard screening, documented notices, and prompt action on non-payment typically resolve quickly. Still follow your state's specific notice and service requirements.
Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison
| City | Distance | Population | Risk score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vienna, VA | 2.4 mi | 16,412 | 4.9 |
| Fairfax, VA | 2.5 mi | 25,026 | 5.5 |
| Difficult Run, VA | 2.6 mi | 9,938 | 3.6 |
| Fair Oaks, VA | 3.4 mi | 35,545 | 5.7 |
| Wolf Trap, VA | 3.5 mi | 15,858 | 4.8 |
| Mantua, VA | 3.5 mi | 8,298 | 5.5 |
| Merrifield, VA | 3.6 mi | 20,698 | 5.7 |
| Dunn Loring, VA | 3.9 mi | 8,957 | 3.9 |
Landlord Guides & Research Tools
Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.
- Eviction Process — Step-by-Step Timeline & Notices
- Eviction Costs Breakdown — Filing Fees to Turnover
- Tenant Screening Protocol — NGP 5-Point System
- Rent Control Coverage — AB 1482 & Local RSOs
- California Tenant Protections — Just Cause & Retaliation
- Virginia Eviction Risk Overview — all counties & cities in Virginia
- Fairfax — compare every city in the county