Neighborhood · Oakton, VA

Cobbdale Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,936 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.6/10 · range 1.5–2.1

Cobbdale is a white-asian neighborhood in Oakton with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,936 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,338/month sits 3% higher than the Oakton citywide average ($2,276).

Risk score

1.6

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Cobbdale vs Oakton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.5% +81%

Oakton: 25.1%

Average gross rent

$2,338 +3%

Oakton: $2,276

Average HH income

$109,610 -33%

Oakton: $163,662

Poverty rate

5.3% +30%

Oakton: 4.1%

Renter share

57.2% +71%

Oakton: 33.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cobbdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.5–2.1

Why Cobbdale scores 1.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

57% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.9 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–5.7 across tracts

5.1

Risk score comparison

Cobbdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Cobbdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059461902	2.1	1,722	35%	$1,906
51059461802	1.5	5,214	49%	$2,481

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 37%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cobbdale

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

351Total filings (sum)
4.87%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak year (2016)
6.46%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cobbdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
21.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Cobbdale

What is the eviction-risk score for Cobbdale?

Cobbdale scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Cobbdale compare to Oakton overall?

Cobbdale scores 1.6 points lower than Oakton overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,338 vs $2,276.

What is the average rent in Cobbdale?

Average gross rent in Cobbdale is $2,338/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Cobbdale residents are renters?

57% of Cobbdale households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Oakton). The neighborhood has 6,936 residents.

Is Cobbdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Cobbdale sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Cobbdale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cobbdale is census tract 51059461902 (score 2.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.5 to 2.1, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Cobbdale for landlords?

Cobbdale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakton as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Cobbdale?

Cobbdale has 6,810 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (26.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cobbdale

1.3 Fairlee 4 tracts · pop 16,145 1.4 Maple Hills 2 tracts · pop 6,849 1.2 Franklin 2 tracts · pop 8,173 1.3 Stonewall Manor 2 tracts · pop 7,287 1.6 Penderlan 3 tracts · pop 11,322 1.6 Dixie Hill 2 tracts · pop 11,943

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cobbdale.

2 Fairfax Circle 1 tracts · pop 3,929 1.2 Fairlee 4 tracts · pop 16,145

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