2 census tracts · pop 6,936 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 4–4.9
Cobbdale takes in 2 census tracts of Oakton, VA and houses 6,936 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 25.1% citywide, putting Cobbdale 20.4% over its own city.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Filings are well documented here: 351 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.7% of renter households. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.
Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Fairlee and Fairfax Circle.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.9 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $2,338, close to the Oakton average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $109,610.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cobbdale vs OaktonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Cobbdale
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
351Total filings (sum)
4.87%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak year (2016)
6.46%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cobbdale
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
6.8%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
21.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Cobbdale
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Cobbdale?
Cobbdale scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Cobbdale compare to Oakton overall?
Cobbdale scores 0.2 points higher than Oakton overall (4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,338 vs $2,276.
Q3
What is the average rent in Cobbdale?
Average gross rent in Cobbdale is $2,338/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Cobbdale residents are renters?
57% of Cobbdale households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Oakton). The neighborhood has 6,936 residents.
Q5
Is Cobbdale a high social-vulnerability area?
Cobbdale sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Cobbdale have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Cobbdale is census tract 51059461902 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.9, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Cobbdale for landlords?
Cobbdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Cobbdale?
Cobbdale has 6,810 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (26.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
