Centreville, VA Eviction Risk Score Manassas Park · Virginia · Pop. 71,706
Centreville, VA sits at 5.2/10 — Moderate risk. 30.6% rent burden, 26.8% renters, ~51-day typical timeline.
Location & regional heat
Sub-score breakdown
Each component on a 1–10 scale. Ticks mark the 25th, 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles nationally.
About eviction risk in Centreville, VA
Centreville, VA has an eviction risk score of 5.2 out of 10, placing it in the moderate-risk tier for landlords operating in Manassas Park and the state of Virginia. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.
Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 30.6% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Centreville is $2,299/month. About 26.8% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.
Economic stress: poverty rate 6.1%, unemployment 3.9%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.
Political climate: In 2020, Manassas Park voted Democratic by 33.1 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.
What this score means for landlords
At 5.2/10, Centreville is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.
Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison
| City | Distance | Population | Risk score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Lakes, VA | 2.8 mi | 8,894 | 4.9 |
| Greenbriar, VA | 3 mi | 8,243 | 4.8 |
| Chantilly, VA | 3.4 mi | 24,036 | 4.8 |
| Yorkshire, VA | 3.6 mi | 9,782 | 4.8 |
| Union Mill, VA | 3.9 mi | 4,484 | 5.0 |
| Navy, VA | 4.2 mi | 3,839 | 3.7 |
| Braddock, VA | 4.5 mi | 6,536 | 5.2 |
| Fair Oaks, VA | 4.7 mi | 35,545 | 5.7 |
Landlord Guides & Research Tools
Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.
- Eviction Process — Step-by-Step Timeline & Notices
- Eviction Costs Breakdown — Filing Fees to Turnover
- Tenant Screening Protocol — NGP 5-Point System
- Rent Control Coverage — AB 1482 & Local RSOs
- California Tenant Protections — Just Cause & Retaliation
- Virginia Eviction Risk Overview — all counties & cities in Virginia
- Manassas Park — compare every city in the county