Neighborhood · Dranesville, VA

Seneca Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,011 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Seneca Gate is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dranesville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,011 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Seneca Gate vs Dranesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Dranesville: 31.1%

Average gross rent

$0 -100%

Dranesville: $3,187

Average HH income

$250,001 +19%

Dranesville: $210,766

Poverty rate

2.4% -11%

Dranesville: 2.7%

Renter share

2.4% -65%

Dranesville: 6.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seneca Gate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Seneca Gate scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

2% renter households · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Economic stress

2.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Seneca Gate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Seneca Gate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059480501	4.4	3,011	0%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 13%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 1%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Seneca Gate

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

14Total filings (sum)
6.63%Avg annual filing rate
12.3%Peak year (2012)
3.70%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seneca Gate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.0%Housing insecurity
3.1%Utility shutoff threat
5.4%Food insecurity
3.2%SNAP enrollment
4.3%No health insurance
19.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Seneca Gate

What is the eviction-risk score for Seneca Gate?

Seneca Gate scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Seneca Gate compare to Dranesville overall?

Seneca Gate scores 0.6 points lower than Dranesville overall (5.0/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 31% citywide.

What percentage of Seneca Gate residents are renters?

2% of Seneca Gate households are renter-occupied (vs 7% in Dranesville). The neighborhood has 3,011 residents.

Is Seneca Gate a high social-vulnerability area?

Seneca Gate sits in the 1th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Seneca Gate for landlords?

Seneca Gate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dranesville as a whole (5.0/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Seneca Gate?

Seneca Gate has 2,937 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seneca Gate

5.8 Cooktown 3 tracts · pop 16,250 4.8 Harvest Green Cluster 2 tracts · pop 6,866 5.3 Lake Anne Village 3 tracts · pop 8,797 5.3 Sunset Hills 4 tracts · pop 11,909 5.4 Herndon Heights 3 tracts · pop 17,069 4.6 Halley Rise 2 tracts · pop 7,478

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dranesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seneca Gate.

5.8 Cooktown 3 tracts · pop 16,250

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