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Neighborhood · Burke, VA

Burke Village Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,976 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Burke Village is a 2-tract neighborhood of Burke, VA and houses 8,976 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Burke baseline of 24.7%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 17.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Court records carry 68 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.5% of adults, 9.3 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 8.7% of renter households. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Burke, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 1.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Townes of Burke and Edgewater score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Burke Village vs Burke How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +73%
Burke: 24.7%
Average gross rent
$2,727 -6%
Burke: $2,894
Average HH income
$157,135 -12%
Burke: $179,063
Poverty rate
1.9% -31%
Burke: 2.8%
Renter share
16.9% +62%
Burke: 10.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Burke Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Burke Village scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.9 across tracts
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.5 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 2.9–4.6 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.4–3.6 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
1.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–7.0 across tracts
6.8
Risk score comparison

Burke Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Burke Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Burke Village: 3.43.4Burke VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Burke Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059432202 3.4 4,672 46% $2,779
51059431801 3.4 4,304 39% $2,670
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Burke Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 68Total filings (sum)
  • 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.27%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Burke Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Burke Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Burke Village?

Burke Village scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Burke Village compare to Burke overall?

Burke Village scores 0.6 points lower than Burke overall (4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,727 vs $2,894.
Q3

What is the average rent in Burke Village?

Average gross rent in Burke eviction risk Village is $2,727/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Burke Village residents are renters?

17% of Burke Village households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Burke). The neighborhood has 8,976 residents.
Q5

Is Burke Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Burke Village sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Burke Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Burke Village is census tract 51059432202 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Burke Village for landlords?

Burke eviction risk Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Burke Village?

Burke Village has 8,822 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (21.3%), Hispanic / Latino (12.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Burke Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burke

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Burke Village.

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