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Neighborhood · Fort Belvoir, VA

Fort Belvoir South Post Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,036 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Fort Belvoir South Post maps to a single census tract in Fort Belvoir, VA and houses 5,036 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Fort Belvoir baseline of 38.1%, 66% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The voucher gap is 39.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Set annual rent against average household income of $103,526 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot is supply constraint at 8.9/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Court records for this tract carry 3 eviction filings. Disability prevalence reaches 19.2% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 0.2% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.8% of adults, 8.0 points below the national rate.

Judgments average 0.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $3,223, close to the Fort Belvoir average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fort Belvoir South Post vs Fort Belvoir How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.4% +74%
Fort Belvoir: 38.1%
Average gross rent
$3,223 0%
Fort Belvoir: $3,236
Average HH income
$103,526 +2%
Fort Belvoir: $101,237
Poverty rate
4.5% +24%
Fort Belvoir: 3.6%
Renter share
99.9% +1%
Fort Belvoir: 99.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Belvoir South Post and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Fort Belvoir South Post scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
100% renter households · Range 9.9–9.9 across tracts
9.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Risk score comparison

Fort Belvoir South Post vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fort Belvoir South Post score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fort Belvoir South: 4.74.7Fort Belvoir SouthNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fort Belvoir South Post

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059416200 4.7 5,036 66% $3,223
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fort Belvoir South Post

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings (sum)
  • 0.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.16%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fort Belvoir South Post

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fort Belvoir South Post

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fort Belvoir South Post?

Fort Belvoir South Post scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fort Belvoir South Post compare to Fort Belvoir overall?

Fort Belvoir South Post scores 0.3 points higher than Fort Belvoir overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $3,223 vs $3,236.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fort Belvoir South Post?

Average gross rent in Fort Belvoir South Post is $3,223/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fort Belvoir South Post residents are renters?

100% of Fort Belvoir South Post households are renter-occupied (vs 99% in Fort Belvoir). The neighborhood has 5,036 residents.
Q5

Is Fort Belvoir South Post a high social-vulnerability area?

Fort Belvoir South Post sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fort Belvoir South Post for landlords?

Fort Belvoir South Post carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Belvoir as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fort Belvoir South Post?

Fort Belvoir South Post has 5,173 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20%), Other / Multiracial (15.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fort Belvoir South Post

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Belvoir

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fort Belvoir South Post.

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