1 census tracts · pop 5,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Bren Mar Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Lincolnia, VA and houses 5,831 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 397 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 11.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.1% in 2016 against a 11.1% peak. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Average gross rent runs $2,151, close to the Lincolnia average. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bren Mar Park vs LincolniaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bren Mar Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
397Total filings (sum)
7.43%Avg annual filing rate
11.1%Peak year (2013)
7.09%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bren Mar Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.4%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
8.0%No health insurance
22.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bren Mar Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bren Mar Park?
Bren Mar Park scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bren Mar Park compare to Lincolnia overall?
Bren Mar Park scores 0.1 points higher than Lincolnia overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,151 vs $2,141.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bren Mar Park?
Average gross rent in Bren Mar Park is $2,151/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bren Mar Park residents are renters?
50% of Bren Mar Park households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Lincolnia). The neighborhood has 5,831 residents.
Q5
Is Bren Mar Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Bren Mar Park sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bren Mar Park for landlords?
Bren Mar Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lincolnia as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bren Mar Park?
Bren Mar Park has 5,841 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (32.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
