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Neighborhood · Oakton, VA

Fairfax Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,929 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Fairfax Circle maps to a single census tract in Oakton, VA and houses 3,929 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Oakton rate of 25.1%.

Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

At $1,839 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Oakton commands. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions logged in this tract. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 2.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 0.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cobbdale and Fairlee.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $105,742. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fairfax Circle vs Oakton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.7% +58%
Oakton: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$1,839 -19%
Oakton: $2,276
Average HH income
$105,742 -35%
Oakton: $163,662
Poverty rate
8.9% +119%
Oakton: 4.1%
Renter share
51.7% +55%
Oakton: 33.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairfax Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Fairfax Circle scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Fairfax Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairfax Circle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fairfax Circle: 4.74.7Fairfax CircleNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fairfax Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059461901 4.7 3,929 40% $1,839
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fairfax Circle

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 35Total filings (sum)
  • 1.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak year (2011)
  • 0.81%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairfax Circle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairfax Circle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairfax Circle?

Fairfax Circle scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairfax Circle compare to Oakton overall?

Fairfax Circle scores 0.7 points higher than Oakton overall (4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,839 vs $2,276.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairfax Circle?

Average gross rent in Fairfax eviction risk Circle is $1,839/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairfax Circle residents are renters?

52% of Fairfax Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Oakton). The neighborhood has 3,929 residents.
Q5

Is Fairfax Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairfax Circle sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fairfax Circle for landlords?

Fairfax eviction risk Circle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairfax Circle?

Fairfax Circle has 3,829 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairfax Circle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairfax Circle.

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