1 census tracts · pop 3,168 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3.7–3.7
Shirley Gate Park maps to a single census tract in George Mason, VA, population 3,168. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 53%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Against a George Mason baseline of 29.9%, 67% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $1,215 a month, rents sit 50% under what the rest of George Mason commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 49 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 8.8% of adults, 9.0 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 35.9% of renter households.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. The most recent observed rate, 10.3% in 2016, is well off that peak.
At 11% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $145,000, annual rent is only 10%, a wide affordability cushion.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shirley Gate Park vs George MasonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Shirley Gate Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
49Total filings (sum)
19.38%Avg annual filing rate
35.9%Peak year (2012)
10.34%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shirley Gate Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.7%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
5.4%SNAP enrollment
7.6%No health insurance
22.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Shirley Gate Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Shirley Gate Park?
Shirley Gate Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Shirley Gate Park compare to George Mason overall?
Shirley Gate Park scores 0.5 points lower than George Mason overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,215 vs $2,426.
Q3
What is the average rent in Shirley Gate Park?
Average gross rent in Shirley Gate Park is $1,215/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Shirley Gate Park residents are renters?
11% of Shirley Gate Park households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in George Mason). The neighborhood has 3,168 residents.
Q5
Is Shirley Gate Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Shirley Gate Park sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Shirley Gate Park for landlords?
Shirley Gate Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to George Mason as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Shirley Gate Park?
Shirley Gate Park has 3,074 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.3%), Hispanic / Latino (25.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
