Skip to content
Neighborhood · Kings Park West, VA

Blue Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,072 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.3

Blue Oaks is a 2-tract neighborhood of Kings Park West, VA, population 8,072. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 39%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Kings Park West rate of 26.6%. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 22 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 3.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.0% in 2016, is well off that peak.

At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $165,044, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $2,478, close to the Kings Park West average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Blue Oaks vs Kings Park West How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +89%
Kings Park West: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$2,478 -3%
Kings Park West: $2,560
Average HH income
$165,044 +2%
Kings Park West: $162,007
Poverty rate
11.2% +27%
Kings Park West: 8.8%
Renter share
18.5% +36%
Kings Park West: 13.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.3

Why Blue Oaks scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 2.7–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–8.5 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Blue Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blue Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Blue Oaks: 4.24.2Blue OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Blue Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059430203 4.3 2,850 68% $3,133
51059430202 4.2 5,222 41% $2,120
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blue Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings (sum)
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 0.98%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blue Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Blue Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Oaks?

Blue Oaks scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blue Oaks compare to Kings Park West overall?

Blue Oaks scores 0.2 points higher than Kings Park West overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,478 vs $2,560.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blue Oaks?

Average gross rent in Blue Oaks is $2,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blue Oaks residents are renters?

19% of Blue Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Kings Park West). The neighborhood has 8,072 residents.
Q5

Is Blue Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Oaks sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Blue Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blue Oaks is census tract 51059430203 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.3, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Blue Oaks for landlords?

Blue Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kings Park West as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Oaks?

Blue Oaks has 8,290 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Kings Park West

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blue Oaks.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further