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Neighborhood · Kings Park West, VA

Blue Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,072 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.6/10 · range 1.6–1.7

Blue Oaks is a diverse neighborhood in Kings Park West with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,072 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 50% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 39% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,478/month sits 3% lower than the Kings Park West citywide average ($2,560).

Risk score
1.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Blue Oaks vs Kings Park West How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +89%
Kings Park West: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$2,478 -3%
Kings Park West: $2,560
Average HH income
$165,044 +2%
Kings Park West: $162,007
Poverty rate
11.2% +27%
Kings Park West: 8.8%
Renter share
18.5% +36%
Kings Park West: 13.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.6–1.7

Why Blue Oaks scores 1.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 2.7–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–8.5 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Blue Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blue Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Blue Oaks: 1.61.6Blue OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Blue Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059430203 1.7 2,850 68% $3,133
51059430202 1.6 5,222 41% $2,120
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blue Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings (sum)
  • 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak year (2013)
  • 0.98%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blue Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Blue Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blue Oaks?

Blue Oaks scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blue Oaks compare to Kings Park West overall?

Blue Oaks scores 1.9 points lower than Kings Park West overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,478 vs $2,560.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blue Oaks?

Average gross rent in Blue Oaks is $2,478/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blue Oaks residents are renters?

19% of Blue Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Kings Park West). The neighborhood has 8,072 residents.
Q5

Is Blue Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Blue Oaks sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Blue Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blue Oaks is census tract 51059430203 (score 1.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.6 to 1.7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Blue Oaks for landlords?

Blue Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Kings Park West as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Blue Oaks?

Blue Oaks has 8,290 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blue Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Kings Park West

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blue Oaks.

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