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Neighborhood · Great Falls, VA

Timberlake Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,157 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Timberlake Run maps to a single census tract in Great Falls, VA and houses 4,157 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.1/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.1/10.

2.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Court records for this tract carry 22 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 20.0% of renter households. Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 1% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Timberlake Run vs Great Falls How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
0.0% -100%
Great Falls: 19.1%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Great Falls: $3,501
Average HH income
$250,001 +0%
Great Falls: $250,001
Poverty rate
2.3% +13%
Great Falls: 2.0%
Renter share
1.0% -80%
Great Falls: 5.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Timberlake Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Timberlake Run scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
0% of income on rent · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
1% renter households · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Timberlake Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Timberlake Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Timberlake Run: 3.03.0Timberlake RunNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Timberlake Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059480100 3 4,157 0%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 9

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Timberlake Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings (sum)
  • 11.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 20.00%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Timberlake Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Timberlake Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Timberlake Run?

Timberlake Run scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Timberlake Run compare to Great Falls overall?

Timberlake Run scores 0.6 points lower than Great Falls overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 19% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Timberlake Run residents are renters?

1% of Timberlake Run households are renter-occupied (vs 5% in Great Falls). The neighborhood has 4,157 residents.
Q4

Is Timberlake Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Timberlake Run sits in the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Timberlake Run for landlords?

Timberlake Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Great Falls as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Timberlake Run?

Timberlake Run has 4,114 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.2%), Other / Multiracial (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Timberlake Run

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Great Falls

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Timberlake Run.

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